The Human Cost of Retaking Mosul | Stratfor

“The Human Cost of Retaking Mosul is republished with permission of Stratfor.”

Source: The Human Cost of Retaking Mosul | Stratfor(“<a href=””>The Human Cost of Retaking Mosul</a> is republished with permission of Stratfor.”).

HAWAII INTELLIGENCE DIGEST, 29 October 2016, 05:15 hrs, UTC, Post #9.

Accessed on 29 October 2016, 05:15 hrs, UTC.

Please click link to read the full analysis from Stratfor.


Exceptionally well-researched and fact-based analysis by Stratfor of the battle for Mosul in northern Iraq.

Besides the obvious loss of human life, the eventual retaking of this northern Iraq city and oil-producing area will come at “a high political and humanitarian cost.”  Refugee camps in Iraq are already stressed to the breaking point, and the addition of more Mosul residents fleeing for their lives will create another health and security nightmare for Iraq.

Stratfor estimates that many of the 750,000 residents of Mosul could escape the besieged city with no place to go.  Syria, already torn apart by civil strife, may be inundated by up to 95,000 Iraqi refugees before Mosul is recaptured.  An untold number of refugees could also head for Turkey. Those lucky enough to escape the embattled city will probably end their journey somewhere in Iraqi at a poorly staffed and inadequately protected refugee settlement.  The human tragedy is just beginning.  Iraq is slowly bleeding to death.

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Russ Roberts

Hawaii Intelligence Digest

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