Aleppo risks becoming “one great graveyard.”

Hawaii Intelligence Digest, 01 December 2016, 04:05 hrs, UTC, Post #42.

http://www.independent.co.uk/news/world/middle-east/aleppo-rebels-government-advance-syrian-war-russia-one-great-graveyard-un-security-council

Accessed on 01 December 2016, 04:05 hrs, UTC.

Reporter:  Lizzie Dearden (“The Independent”–UK).

Please click link to read the full story.

Comment:

The head of the UN’s humanitarian relief effort in the Middle East says the Syrian city of Aleppo is doomed as forces loyal to Syrian President Basher al-Assad advance under the cover of Russian ground attack aircraft.

Stephen O’Brien, the Under Secretary-General for humanitarian affairs says Syrian and Russian forces have ignored international law as the offensive against the rebel-held city continues.

O’Brien’s observations are succinct and tragic:

“For the sake of humanity, we call on, we plead, with the parties, and those with influence, to do everything in their power to protect civilians and enable access to the besieged part of eastern Aleppo before it becomes one giant graveyard,” he said. “There are no limits or red lines left to cross. The rules of war – sacrosanct notions borne out of generations of costly and painful lessons and set more than 150 year ago in the First Geneva Convention – have been systematically disregarded in Syria.”

Opinion:

All the talking in the world won’t stop the current offensive.  There is speculation that the attack will intensify before U.S. President-Elect Donald Trump can weigh-in on the situation.  Some intelligence experts believe the fate of this historic city will be decided before Trump assumes office on 20 January 2017–leaving him little time to broker a deal for the relief of that besieged city.

The success of the current offensive is needed to guarantee Russia’s continued presence and influence in the region. Currently, Russia leases a submarine base on the Syrian coast and is actively pursuing further military operations in the area.

The United States is relatively powerless to change the course of events, now that the offensive appears to be on the road for success.  Outgoing U.S. President Barrack Obama‘s diplomatic initiative for an agreement to end the Syrian conflict has been stopped cold.

The reality is clear:  Russia will do whatever is militarily necessary to keep Basher al-Assad in power. The  unfortunate residents of Aleppo are but pawns in the great geopolitical game known as the Middle East. For all of its well-intentioned rhetoric, the United Nations is powerless to change the course of history being made in Syria.  Difficult days lie ahead.

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Opinions expressed in this blog are mine unless otherwise stated.

Thanks for joining us today!

Until next time,

Russell Roberts

Hawaii Intelligence Digest

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