Hawaii Intelligence Digest, 27 January 2017, 02:45 hrs, UTC, Post #94.
Accessed on 27 January 2017, 02:45 hrs, UTC.
Reporters: Michelle Meutin and Michael Nienaber (Reuters).
Please click link to read the full story.
While much of our national news is dominated by the uneasy policy issues supported by newly elected President Donald Trump, a far more dangerous issue is being raised in the European Union. If the wave of populism sparked by the election of Mr. Trump begins to grow the European Union may be in deep trouble.
On Thursday, German Economy Minister Sigmar Gabriel told the Buddestag (Germany’s lower house of parliament) that populists espousing the rhetoric and draconian measures outlined by Mr. Trump could score political victories in France and the Netherlands. Coupled with UK’s efforts to leave the EU, the European Union “could fall apart if populists in France or the Netherlands win elections this year.”
In Gabriel’s opinion, if ultra-right and nationalist politicians “get results, then we face the threat that the largest civilization project of the 20th century, namely the European Union, could fall apart.”
This sobering analysis from Sigmar Garbriel shouldn’t be ignored. If the EU collapses into several regional economic powers, the overall ability of Europe to resist Russian expansion will be reduced. Should Mr. Trump decide to pull most of our military forces out of NATO, then there will be little resistance against a Russian military or economic invasion. At the very least, the breakup of Europe into many competing states will give the Russian Federation significant leverage to control the economies and foreign relations of these countries. Russia is already trying to re-assemble and re-absorb territory lost since the collapse of the Soviet State. If populist leaders opt for protectionism and isolationism, then the future of Europe may be bleak. There will be no United States available to blunt Russian economic and military power in Europe. This scenario resembles the European situation during the 1920s and 1930s which saw the rise of Mussolini and Hitler. Hopefully, this depiction of a European future is only a bad dream.
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Until next time,
Hawaii Intelligence Digest