Hawaii Intelligence Digest, 20 February 2017, 01:55 hrs, UTC, Post # 118.
Accessed on 20 February 2017, 01:55 hrs, UTC.
Please click link to read the full report.
NATO is offering some “pushback” along the Polish border in response to the stationing of ballistic missile batteries near the Baltic Sea by the Russian Federation.
According to http://www.dw.com, the U.S. Army is sending 1000 military personnel and their support vehicles to Orzys in northeastern Poland at the end of March 2017 as part of a NATO missile called “Atlantic Resolve.” The U.S. forces will be patrolling an area about 137 km/85 miles from Kaliningrad, a Russian military enclave along the Baltic Sea. The military exercise is opposed by Russian officials.
Here is the intelligence analysis of http://www.dw.com:
“Poland and Romania host two US missile interceptor stations viewed by Moscow as a threat on its doorstep. Last year, it deployed Iskander missiles into Kaliningrad.
Last weekend, Polish Prime Minister Beata Szydlo welcomed the arrival of a US armored brigade for training with Polish forces at Zagan, a town in southwestern Poland, just 70 kilometers from the eastern German city of Cottbus.
In January, the brigade’s 87 tanks and an array of other vehicles had arrived by ship in Bremerhaven in western Germany.”
NATO forces in Romania, Turkey, and Bulgaria are increasing naval patrols along their respective Black Sea coastlines.
Whether this modest show of force by NATO will be sufficient to tone down the rhetoric coming from Russia is unknown. Mr. Putin has shown himself to be a clever manipulator of European, U.S., and NATO weaknesses. He will push against the European Union whenever and where ever he can. Mr. Putin has made it clear he will act in a reasonable, diplomatic manner if certain concessions by the United States and the EU are made–namely, the removal of economic sanctions imposed earlier by former U.S. President Barack Obama. Any show of disunity by NATO, the EU, or the U.S. will give Mr. Putin more leverage in staking economic and territorial claims in eastern Europe. Mr. Putin has already extended limited diplomatic, military, and economic assistance to Russian dissidents occupying eastern Ukraine. Expect more efforts from Moscow to spread disinformation, confusion, and mistrust in Europe by any means available, including cyber warfare and military buildups in key border areas.
For a comprehensive review of trends in geopolitical intelligence, strategic forecasting, terrorism, and cybersecurity, please visit my Daily Intelligence Briefing at:
For more information on the above topics, please check out the blog sidebars and footer areas. These news feeds are updated daily.
Opinions expressed in this blog are mine unless otherwise stated.
Thanks for joining us today!
Until next time,
Hawaii Intelligence Digest