Hawaii Intelligence Digest, 08 July 2017, 00:35 hrs, UTC, Post #250.
Accessed on 08 July 2017, 00:35 hrs, UTC.
Author: Via Dilbert Creator Scott Adams’ blog.
Please click link or enter post title into your browser search box to read the full article.
To solve the current North Korean ballistic missile crisis, we may have to go beyond politics and truly “think out of the box.” According to “Dilbert” creator Scott Adams, the available choices, ranging from crippling economic sanctions to outright military intervention, will fail. Adams believes a “win-win” solution is needed to defuse the situation and to eventually create a unified Korean Peninsula. Under Adams’ proposal, the U.S would get a nuclear-free North Korea, while the xenophobic regime would gain “ironclad national defense, prestige, prosperity”, and even reunification with the south under more peaceful circumstances.
Adams admits that his plan has risks, but perhaps those risks are worth taking. Simply stated, here’s what Adams proposes:
Proposed North Korean Peace Deal
China, Russia, and U.S. sign a military security agreement to protect
North Korea and South Korea from attack
for 100 years, in return for North Korea suspending its ICBM and nuclear weapons programs and allowing inspectors to confirm they are sticking to the deal.
* * *
At the end of a hundred years, North Korea and South Korea agree to unify under one rule. No other details on how that happens will be in the agreement. North Korea will be free to tell its people that the Kim dynasty negotiated to be the rulers of the unified country in a hundred years. South Korea will be free to announce that unification is a goal with no details attached. We will all be dead in 100 years, so we can agree to anything today. (That’s the key to making this work – all players will be dead before the end of it.)
The U.S. withdraws military assets from South Korea.
South Korea and North Korea reduce their non-nuclear military assets that point at each other.
Over the course of the 100-year deal, there could be a number of confidence-building steps in the agreement. For example, in ten years you might have a robust tourist arrangement. In twenty years, perhaps you can do business across borders. In fifty years, perhaps a unified currency (by then digital).
A hundred years is plenty of time for the Kim family to make their fortunes and move to Switzerland, or wherever, before unification is an issue. The deal might require some sort of International amnesty agreement for any North Korean leaders looking to get out of the country before unification.
Under this proposed deal structure all sides get what they want.
This plan may actually work if all parties in this crisis (North/South Korea, the United States, Russia, and China) tone down the rhetoric and actually get serious about reducing tensions in the area. Whether our leaders will do this is anybody’s guess.
For the latest developments in geopolitical intelligence, strategic forecasting, politics, terrorism, and cybersecurity, please check the blog sidebars. These news feeds are updated daily.
For a daily assessment of world intelligence trends, please visit my daily intelligence briefing at:
Opinions expressed in this blog are mine unless otherwise stated.
Thanks for joining us today.
Until next time,
Hawaii Intelligence Digest